2025 Knoxville Nationals Coverage

Ranking The Knoxville Nationals Drivers: From Favorites To Long Shots

Ranking The Knoxville Nationals Drivers: From Favorites To Long Shots

Breaking down the entire 2025 Knoxville Nationals roster, from favorites to alphabet soup hopefuls.

Aug 6, 2025 by Kyle McFadden
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The 64th annual NOS Energy Drink Knoxville Nationals presented by Casey's has again attracted more than 100 drivers to Knoxville Raceway looking for a cut of this year's $1,182,605 million purse.

Typically, the 10 favorites to win a marquee event are spotlighted for a preview article, but this time for The Granddaddy of Them All, let's touch on every entered driver, shall we? And tier each driver based on their status entering the biggest Sprint Car race of the year.

Below, the 103 entrants are categorized among these tiers: Favorites, Contenders, Under The Radar, Sleepers, Younger Long Shots, Veteran Long Shots and and Alphabet Soup hopefuls. Let the debate — and racing — begin as Wednesday's first qualifying night takes place at Knoxville.

Tier 1: Favorites

It's pretty clear who should be on the (very short) list of top guns at the Knoxville Nationals.

No.

Driver

Prelim Night

State

2

David Gravel

Wednesday

CT

24R

Rico Abreu

Wednesday

CA

57

Kyle Larson

Thursday

NC

There's a reason only six drivers have won the Knoxville Nationals since 2016. It's because the list of winners is supposed to be exclusive and reserved for the sport's elite. Rico Abreu, David Gravel and Kyle Larson are the clear-cut favorites, and Larson could even be on a tier of his own as a juggernaut-in-the-making at Knoxville.

But until he reaches Steve Kinser- or Donny Schatz-like dominance (Kinser won three in a row three times, including five in a row from 1991-95 won 10 in a 12-year) span, Larson remains mortal.

Everything could be aligning for Abreu to finally win his first Nationals in his 12th try — he's batting 5-for-8 with an average finish of 2.8 at Knoxville this year and crew chief Ricky Warner is the best in the business at the half-mile.

For Gravel, his 11 wins are tied with Abreu for most in the nation and his average finish of 3.0 at Knoxville this year (a win, runner-up and sixth) is what you'd expect from him and the Big Game Motorsports No. 2 team. Gravel probably has extra motivation, too, in the wake of his Eldora spat with Larson a few weeks ago.

Tier 2: Contenders

These drivers expect to be in the top-five come Saturday. If all goes right, winning isn't out of the question.

No.

Driver

Prelim Night

State


1s

Logan Schuchart

Thursday

PA


7BC

Giovanni Scelzi

Thursday

CA


10

Ryan Timms

Wednesday

OK


14BC

Corey Day

Wednesday

CA


15

Donny Schatz

Wednesday

ND


17

Sheldon Haudenschilld

Wednesday

OH


21

Brian Brown

Thursday

MO


21T

James McFadden

Wednesday

NT


39M

Anthony Macri

Wednesday

PA


41

Carson Macedo

Thursday

CA


49

Brad Sweet

Thursday

CA


71P

Parker Price-Miller

Thursday

IN


83

Buddy Kofoid

Thursday

CA


There could be a nuanced Tier 2A and Tier 2B for the true contenders and fringe contenders, because Buddy Kofoid and Corey Day aren't too far behind favorite status. Clearly there's a gap between them and, say, Parker Price-Miller and even Donny Schatz, who's struggled this season.

But at the end of the day, every driver on the aforementioned list has top-five potential and an expectation to be among the frontrunners come Saturday. Kofoid, the top-rated driver this year per sprintcarratings.com, would be more of a favorite if not for his lack of results at Knoxville (he has an average there of 9.8 this year and DNQ'd last year).

Corey Day (June 14 WoO winner at Knoxville), Anthony Macri (recent Kings Royal champ)i, James McFadden (Sunday's Capitani Classic winner) and Ryan Timms (five wins at Knoxville this year) carry a lot of upside. 

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Brian Brown (sixth last year; runner-up three times), Carson Macedo (two straight top-fives), Sheldon Haudenschild (five straight top-10s), Logan Schuchart (eight straight A-mains; two podiums) have a knack of performing well at Knoxville.

Odds are favorable for Price-Miller, too, who's 3-for-3 qualifying for Knoxville Nationals A-mains with Bernie Stuebgen on the wrenches.

Tread cautiously with Gio Scelzi (410 debut with Clauson-Marshall Racing), Schatz (13.8 average finish at Knoxville this year) and Brad Sweet (amid crew changes). This is Scelzi's 410 debut with Clauson-Marshall Racing. More on Schatz: He's made every Nationals A-main since 1998 and has never finished outside the top-10 two years in a row (finished 13th last year).

Tier 3A: Under The Radar

Like a plane going undetected, these drivers have shown they are capable but have drifted out of the spotlight. 

No.

Driver

Prelim Night

State

3L

Daryn Pittman

Thursday

OK

3z

Brock Zearfoss

Thursday

PA

14

Spencer Bayston

Thursday

IN

19

Brent Marks

Thursday

PA

26

Justin Peck

Wednesday

IN

55

Hunter Schuerenberg

Wednesday

MO

55V

Kerry Madsen

Thursday

NSW

These are drivers who expect to main the A-Main, but wouldn't surprise us if they miss it. Brent Marks, Kerry Madsen and Daryn Pittman were contenders at the Nationals not too long ago. Marks's dip in performance, Madsen no longer in his prime and Pittman racing very sparingly put them a notch below the contenders.

As for Spencer Bayston (2023), Justin Peck (2021-24), Hunter Schurenberg (2023) and Brock Zearfoss (2021), they've all made the Nationals A-main, but just aren't running their best. For instance, Peck has five top-10s his last 18 races and Bayston, Schuerenberg and Zearfoss are winless in 2025.

Tier 3B: Sleepers

Don't be surprised if a few of these drivers qualify outright into Saturday's A-Main and battle for a top-10.

No.

Driver

Prelim Night

State

2c

Cole Macedo

Thursday

CA

2m

JJ Hickle

Thursday

WA

9R

Chase Randall

Wednesday

TX

13

Daison Pursley

Wednesday

OK

17B

Bill Balog

Thursday

WI

18

Emerson Axsom

Wednesday

IN

18T

Tanner Holmes

Wednesday

OR

23

Garet Williamson

Wednesday

MO

27

Carson McCarl

Wednesday

IA

48

Danny Dietrich

Wednesday

PA

87

Justin Sanders

Wednesday

CA

88T

Tanner Thorson

Thursday

NV

88

Austin McCarl

Wednesday

IA

Every year, there's always a few drivers that catch everyone off guard in transferring outright to Saturday's main event by virtue of preliminary points.

That was Brady Bacon, Bill Balog, Scott Bogucki and Chase Randall last year. In 2023, it was Hunter Schuerenberg, Dusty Zomer and Randall again, and 2022 saw JJ Hickle, Justin Sanders, and Tasker Phillips make it on qualifying night points.

So, based on that, three to four drivers from above are likely to keep the sleeper trend alive. Balog, Randall, Emerson Axsom (aboard the KCP No. 18, which won a prelim last year with Gio Scelzi) and Justin Sanders (filling in for the injured Aaron Reutzel) are the most intriguing.

Tanner Holmes, Cole Macedo, Carson McCarl, Daison Pursley, Tanner Thorson and Garet Williamson all have the equipment and experience by now to make their first Nationals A-main. Danny Dietrich (two A-mains) and Austin McCarl (three A-mains; 2022 Knoxville pole) know how to qualify, but they could also end up in the C-main because of their inconsistencies.

Tier 4A: Younger Long Shots

Making Saturday's A-Main would be huge for any of these younger crop of developing and/or unproven drivers.

No.

Driver

Prelim Night

State

1a

Ashton Torgerson (R)

Wednesday

AZ

1K

Kelby Watt

Wednesday

IA

3

Ayrton Gennetten

Wednesday

IA

3P

Sawyer Phillips

Thursday

IA

4c

Cam Martin (R)

Thursday

IA

5

Brenham Crouch

Thursday

TX

6

Zach Hampton

Wednesday

IN

11N

Kasey Jedrzejek

Wednesday

OH

17A

Jack Anderson (R)

Wednesday

IA

22

Riley Goodno

Wednesday

IA

23D

Chase Dietz

Thursday

PA

24D

Danny Sams III

Wednesday

FL

28M

Conner Morrell (R)

Thursday

FL

42

Sye Lynch

Wednesday

PA

44

Chris Martin

Wednesday

IA

45x

Landon Crawley

Wednesday

AR

51

Joel Myers Jr. (R)

Thursday

CA

67

Justin Whittall (R)

Wednesday

PA

99

Skylar Gee

Thursday

ALB

The Knoxville Nationals isn't usually kind toward rookies, the lesser-experienced or the still-developing. Chase Randall did qualify as a rookie in 2023 and Tasker Phillips, who was more a long-shot candidate to make the A-main, did it in '23 as well. So it's possible for someone on this list to make the main event, but the chances are slim.

Chase Dietz and Chris Martin at 28 years old, along with 27 year olds Sye Lynch and Zach Hampton, are the oldest drivers of the bunch. Dietz's five wins in Central PA this year make him the worthiest long shot. With two wins, including one recently at Knoxville, Ayrton Gennetten has potential to make noise. Cali 19-year-old Joel Myers Jr. has a pair of wins himself this year, too, on the IRA tour.

Kasey Jedrzejek (May 17 at Fremont), Ashton Torgerson (April at BAPS), Kelby Watt (June 21 at Plymouth) and Justin Whittall (July 19 at Port Royal) are all winners this year as well.

Tier 4B: Veteran Long Shots

Qualifying for Saturday's A-Main would also be a big deal for these experienced drivers.

No.

Driver

Prelim Night

State

09

Matt Juhl

Wednesday

SD

2KS

Brooke Tatnell

Wednesday

NSW

4W

Jamie Ball

Wednesday

IA

5w

Lucas Wolfe

Wednesday

PA

6B

Brandon Wimmer

Thursday

IN

7s

Chris Windom

Wednesday

IL

15H

Sam Hafertepe Jr.

Wednesday

TX

17GP

Tim Shaffer

Wednesday

PA

19H

Kevin Thomas Jr.

Thursday

AL

21H

Brady Bacon

Thursday

OK

24

Terry McCarl

Thursday

IA

25

Tim Kaeding

Wednesday

CA

27B

Jake Bubak

Thursday

CO

33w

Cap Henry

Thursday

OH

36

Jason Martin

Wednesday

NE

39

Lynton Jeffrey

Thursday

NSW

40

Clint Garner

Thursday

SD

52

Blake Hahn

Wednesday

OK

83H

Justin Henderson

Thursday

SD

This isn't a list to overlook: Six-time A-main starter (including last year) Justin Henderson, 2010 Knoxville Nationals champ Tim Shaffer, last year's A-main starter Brady Bacon, 22-time A-main starter Terry McCarl, 2024 Wednesday night quick time Matt Juhl, two-time ASCS champ Blake Hahn, ASCS points leader Sam Hafertepe Jr., 5-time A-main starter Lucas Wolfe, former USAC champs Kevin Thomas Jr. and Chris Windom, and 2024 Knoxvill 360

Hahn is the youngest at 30 on this list, with Thomas Jr. (34), Windom (34), Ball (35) and Henry (35) among the fringe-veterans compared to the more-seasoned type like the 58-year-old Shaffer and 60-year-old McCarl.

Tier 5: Alphabet Soup Hopefuls

These are drivers who'd love to finish in the top half of the 103-car field come Saturday.

No.

Driver

Prelim Night

State

G5

Gage Pulkrabek

Thursday

MN

1

Sammy Swindell

Thursday

TN

1D

Thomas Meseraull (R)

Thursday

CA

4

Matt Wasmund

Thursday

MN

4x

Heath Nestrick (R)

Thursday

TX

8

Jacob Hughes (R)

Thursday

SD

10w

Matt Vandervere (R)

Thursday

WA

11

Roger Crockett

Thursday

OK

12x

Hank Davis (R)

Wednesday

OK

15J

Jack Potter

Thursday

MO

15JR

Cole Mincer

Wednesday

IA

16G

Austyn Gossel

Thursday

CO

23L

Jimmy Light

Thursday

IN

23w

Scott Winters

Thursday

MN

24T

Christopher Thram

Thursday

MN

32B

Brandon Spithaler (R)

Wednesday

PA

44x

Scotty Johnson

Wednesday

IA

45c

Derek Hagar

Thursday

AR

49J

Josh Schneiderman

Thursday

IA

53d

Jack Dover

Thursday

NE

65

Jordan Goldesberry

Wednesday

IL

71

Brandon Worthington (R)

Wednesday

IA

74

Xavier Doney

Wednesday

MO

85J

Logan Julien (R)

Thursday

WI

95

Tyler Drueke

Thursday

NE

Lacking what's required to hang with the upper half of the field, these drivers will likely fill out the C-, D- and E-Main lineups come Saturday. One driver on this list who could make some noise is non-winged Thomas Meseraull, who has a pair of top-fives in eight winged races this year.

This list isn't entirely unheralded names either as 1983 event champ, 69-year-old Sammy Swindell, makes his 49th Knoxville Nationals start. Former WoO winner Roger Crockett (who qualified for the Knoxville Nationals A-main in 2013) returns as well.